Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.027321 0.029948 0.032550 0.035314 0.038162 0.041007 0.044057
2025-01-05 0.021844 0.026046 0.030328 0.034990 0.039899 0.044895 0.050343
2025-01-12 0.017836 0.023021 0.028443 0.034468 0.040921 0.047576 0.054919
2025-01-19 0.014121 0.019889 0.026086 0.033111 0.040749 0.048724 0.057608
2025-01-26 0.012549 0.018926 0.025918 0.033954 0.042782 0.052070 0.062482
2025-02-02 0.010755 0.017538 0.025144 0.034013 0.043856 0.054289 0.066051
2025-02-09 0.008680 0.015645 0.023672 0.033187 0.043865 0.055272 0.068210
2025-02-16 0.007476 0.014696 0.023208 0.033424 0.044987 0.057409 0.071557
2025-02-23 0.006245 0.013604 0.022503 0.033330 0.045686 0.059038 0.074309
2025-03-02 0.005060 0.012459 0.021667 0.033030 0.046110 0.060323 0.076645
2025-03-09 0.004090 0.011505 0.021007 0.032890 0.046676 0.061733 0.079084
2025-03-16 0.002989 0.010225 0.019875 0.032146 0.046517 0.062304 0.080573
2025-03-23 0.002120 0.009260 0.019215 0.032090 0.047305 0.064113 0.083637
2025-03-30 0.001261 0.008134 0.018318 0.031759 0.047811 0.065655 0.086468
2025-04-06 0.000562 0.006993 0.017317 0.031253 0.048080 0.066904 0.088953
2025-04-13 0.000032 0.005523 0.015729 0.029945 0.047356 0.066988 0.090104
2025-04-20 NaN 0.005263 0.015844 0.030757 0.049115 0.069872 0.094356
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004656 0.015390 0.030814 0.049952 0.071684 0.097388
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003705 0.014312 0.030018 0.049736 0.072265 0.099015
2025-05-11 NaN 0.003287 0.014038 0.030247 0.050735 0.074223 0.102171
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002772 0.013541 0.030156 0.051326 0.075695 0.104762
2025-05-25 NaN 0.002229 0.012919 0.029867 0.051656 0.076848 0.106976
2025-06-01 NaN 0.001795 0.012430 0.029732 0.052157 0.078184 0.109383